It’s the final week of the regular season in the OIA Division I while the OIA D-II race has two weeks left. There’s a lot at stake this weekend for many top teams. Here’s how it all breaks down.
Remaining games: Kapolei at Aiea, Moanalua at Mililani, Farrington vs. Campbell at Aloha Stadium, Oct. 4.
Outlook: Mililani has secured the top seed in the OIA playoffs out of the Blue. Even with a loss to Na Menehune, the Trojans would own the head-to-head tiebreaker against the winner of Farrington and Campbell. The Govs and Sabers will play for the other first-round bye out of the division.
The race to host an opening-round game instead of going on the road against a tough OIA Red team comes down to Moanalua and Kapolei. Moanalua would get it with a win over the Trojans, but Mililani has looked unstoppable in league play. Should Na Menehune lose, the Hurricanes can slide into the No. 4 spot with a win over Na Alii. Even if Aiea somehow beats Kapolei and Moanalua loses to Mililani, Na Menehune would still host due to its head-to-head win.
Remaining games: Castle at McKinley, Kaiser at Leilehua, Oct. 3; Waianae vs. Kahuku at Aloha Stadium, Oct. 4.
Outlook: Props to the schedule makers in the OIA Red. All three games this weekend have huge implications. How crazy could things get? Consider this: If Kaiser beats Leilehua and Waianae beats Kahuku, there would be a four-way tie for first place at 5-2 in conference. Kaiser would hold the head-to-head edge with its 2-1 record against the other three teams, which would all be 1-2 in the head-to-head breakdown.
Leilehua needs a win over Kaiser to secure a first-round bye. Kahuku gets the No. 1 seed out of the division with a win. Waianae can get a first-round bye with a win over Kahuku and a Leilehua victory over Kaiser. Kaiser has a first-round bye with a win over Leilehua.
Castle can secure a playoff berth with a win over McKinley. If the Tigers can beat the Knights, it would result in a three-way tie with Waipahu involved. A coin flip would determine which two teams go on the road in the opening round of the playoffs.
Remaining games: Nanakuli vs. Radford at Roosevelt, Kalani at Pearl City, Kalaheo vs. Kaimuki at Kaiser, Oct. 3; Waialua vs. Anuenue at Kaiser, Oct. 4; Kalaheo at Pearl City, Waialua vs. Radford at Aiea, Kaimuki at Roosevelt, Oct. 10. Nanakuli vs. Kalani at Kaiser, Oct. 11.
Outlook: Nanakuli can clinch the No. 1 seed and regular season title with a win on Friday against Radford. A Rams victory over the Golden Hawks would really make things tight as three teams would have one loss. A possible coin flip to determine which two teams play at home in the semifinals could be possible.
The Falcons have two very tough games to close the season. At Pearl City on Oct. 3 and against Nanakuli at Kaiser on Oct. 11. A win in either of those two games gets Kalani in, but should the Falcons lose both of those games, it opens the door for Waialua to sneak in with wins over Anuenue and Radford. Kalaheo, which beat Kalani earlier this season, also has an outside shot, but would need wins over Kaimuki and Pearl City with some help.
Roosevelt, Kaimuki and Anuenue are eliminated from playoff contention.