OIA football playoff scenarios

The OIA Red wraps up its regular season this week, while the White has two weeks left on the schedule.

Here’s a breakdown of what the OIA football playoffs will look like after this week’s games:

OIA Red East

Regular season champion: TBA
Teams in playoffs: Kahuku (5-0), Farrington (5-0), Moanalua (3-3), McKinley (2-3), Kailua (2-3)
Teams with first-round byes: Kahuku, Farrington
This week’s games: Thursday — Kailua vs. McKinley, 4:30 p.m., Aloha Stadium; Farrington vs. Kahuku, 7 p.m., Aloha Stadium. Friday — Castle vs. Kaimuki, 7:30 p.m., at Kaiser

The Governors and Red Raiders meet in the second game of a rare Thursday night OIA doubleheader at Aloha Stadium. All that is on the line is seeding and pride as both teams have already locked up a first-round bye. Since Farrington’s 14-13 win over Kahuku in the 2011 regular season, the Red Raiders have won three straight in the series, including victories in the 2011 OIA title game and 2012 state semifinals. The game with the most at stake this week is Friday when Kaimuki (1-6, 0-5) and Castle (2-5, 1-4) square off at Kaiser. The loser’s season comes to an end while the winner plays on. Kaimuki would be the East’s No. 6 seed with a victory while the Knights could finish with the fifth seed with a win and a McKinley loss in the first game of Thursday’s doubleheader. Moanalua and the Kailua/McKinley winner will host opening-round games.

OIA Red West

Regular season champion: Mililani (5-0)
Teams in playoffs: Mililani, Waianae (4-2), Campbell (3-2), Kapolei (3-2), Leilehua (2-3), Waipahu (1-4)
Teams with first-round byes: Mililani, TBA
This week’s games: Friday — Aiea at Mililani, 7:30 p.m.; Kapolei at Campbell, 7 p.m.; Leilehua at Waipahu, 7:30 p.m.

Kapolei is out of the running for a playoff bye but can spoil Campbell’s bid to get a week off if the Hurricanes can win a road game against the Sabers on Friday. The two schools have split the six meetings against each other with five decided by a touchdown or less. No game was more thrilling in 2012 than Kapolei’s 35-34 upset of the Sabers when linebacker Micah Paris blocked an extra-point try with 2:44 left to give the Hurricanes the win. If the Hurricanes are victorious again, Waianae will get the second playoff bye out of the West. No team has more on the line this week than Campbell, which gets a playoff bye if it wins, but can fall as low as the fifth seed in the OIA Red West with a loss combined with a Leilehua win over Waipahu, forcing the Sabers to go on the road next weekend. Aiea, which plays Mililani, has already been eliminated from playoff contention.

OIA White

Regular season champion: TBA
Teams in playoffs: Kaiser (6-0), Radford (5-1), Pearl City (5-1), Kalani (5-2)
This week’s games: Friday — Kaiser at Pearl City, 7:30 p.m.; Radford at Roosevelt, 7:30 p.m.; Nanakuli vs. Kalaheo at Kailua, 7:30 p.m. Saturday — Waialua vs. Anuenue at Kaiser, 5 p.m.

With two weeks to go in the OIA White season, the four playoff teams are set. Kalani will play in its first playoff game in school history after rattling off five wins in its last six games. Pearl City controls its own destiny and could win the division outright. Of course, it’d have to beat both Kaiser on Friday and Radford the following week to do it, but hey, crazier things have happened. The Cougars wrap up the division and the No. 1 seed with a win over the Chargers on Friday. Pearl City’s game at Radford next Friday will determine who gets to host a semifinal game as the division’s No. 2 seed.